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Poll of forecasters
The Economist poll of forecasters
Nov 8th 2011, 12:00 by The Economist online
What our polls forecast for 2011 GDP growth and inflation
EVERY month The Economist surveys a group of economists and records the average and range of their predictions for GDP growth, consumer prices and the current-account balances for 14 economies (see this month's poll). The charts below show our pollsters' monthly 2011 economic growth and inflation predictions for America, Japan and the euro area since March 2010. The evolution of the forecasts shows that as 2011 has progressed economists have been gradually becoming increasingly pessimistic about the fortunes of the American economy and its ability to fight inflation. A marked divergence is also noticeable in Japan after the Fukushima earthquake in April, while the outlook for GDP growth in the euro area had been slowly improving but has deteriorated over recent months.
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Readers' comments
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Please note that the earthquake in Japan took place on March 11th and it was not the "Fukushima Earthquake". It took place in the Tohoku region. Fukushima is the nuclear power plant that was damaged by the subsequent tsunami.
Otherwise thanks for a stellar work as always. Micke
Are the three lines (high, average, fair) showing the range of responses of those surveyed?
It would be great to also have an "actual" line to compare... no?